first of all this matchup is far from being a 70-30 match, imo no team should be heavily favoured here as the match depends on too many random factors.
this has the following reasons:
a) the pkd lineup is simply not as good as it seems to say the least – enkay j is neither a super good igl nor a good fragger, same for tixo who haven’t even played this game for more than 1000h. johnny and robs3n are mediocre, they have their “good” maps here and there tho where they really show up. syrsoN is usually a consistant fragger with lots of individual skill, he showed it more than once in several teams (for example as penta standin)
b) we don’t know the publicir lineup yet (it’d actually suprise me if the announced lineup on hltv is the final one), so if you bet hours before the match, you bet on the typical swedish lineup roulette
c) i doubt these teams ever heard of each other or saw the other team playing, so when it comes to map vetos a lot of luck is involved. inferno and mirage would favour publicir (even cache would be super good tho it’s a decent pkd map as well). depending on how brainless they veto the maps either team can have a huge advantage going into this matchup
d) rctic stomped pkd on train yesterday 16-2 starting as T. so as an additional info to c) i think they are smart enough to stay far away from this map, while publicir will most-likely try to avoid cobble and overpass.
keep in mind, either team can win this match, i personally stick to publicir in case they get somewhat decent maps and play with an equivalent lineup including dominate, awwe, lekr0 and quix at least. betting on the overdog here is a suicide bet and i’d consider a skip instead of doing that. small bet / icb on the underdog is nothing but smart in this case.
My odds for this match: Planetkey 50:50 Publiclir
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