Envy are notorious for celebrating after LAN wins, and not performing when they are home, and I can see this one being the same. Looking at the hours played between the two teams, nV all have around 30-40 hours the past 2 weeks, and TSM have 60-85. They have been practising and are trying to get their form back, and showed that by their convincing win over VP recently.
The odds on CSGL are currently 70% for Envy, and as TOP T1 team matches are never more than 55-45/60-40, the best idea here is to go LOW/ICB on TSM. It is a BO3, which will be less random, and we have all seen nV be demolished in some matches recently, and then look convincing the other. Betting on nV for this game would be crazy, and TSM are the perfect underdog bet for today.
My odds for this match: Team SoloMid 45:55 EnVyUs
This could be a potential good underdog bet if you like to play the odds.
As you can see on their steam profiles:
Envy got 40 hours last 2 weeks which is not too much if you ask me. It was enough to beat fnatic but fnatic looked weak on LAN. Also Envy is known as a team that likes to party really hard after a won LAN. This combined maybe makes them slightly weaker today because they might be exhausted and tired from travels.
TSM on the other hand seems to started to grind again. They are individually not as talented as Envy, that is obvious but they are still a decent team.
If you check the last results between both teams,
http://prntscr.com/8lrq1i you can see how the odds moved now to to being pretty stupid. The odds before were more realistic. I believe its more of a 60-40 game for Envy than 68-32. If CajunB is back on form today they will have a good chance in my eyes.
From what i understand ENVY is getting a VETO advantage. I guess they will be able to Veto a map and pick, which means they should either play inferno or cobble. I dont know how exactly the VETO process will work because i can not find info for what advantage they got, so here is a map breakdown for all.
Dust 2: 50-50
Inferno 60:40 Envy
Cache: 65:35 Envy
Overpass: 60-40 TSM
Train: 60-40 TSM
So overall i think that Envy got a decent Advantage but yeah, they might be slightly tired and burned out so i think the smartest thing you can do here is a small bet on TSM with this skewed odds.
If you wanna see if i bet on it feel free to join the group. Iam currently building up 2 accounts so this might be interesting for some guys who have not so much experience.
My odds for this match: Team SoloMid 40:60 EnVyUs
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