Overpass is a map that historically has been slightly better for Dignitas than Envy. Looking at past results on the map, nV lost heavily to VP and Navi, lost 16-12 to fnatic, 16-14 to Navi, 16-5 to G2. Their only notable win really, was an overtime victory against Dignitas.
Dignitas have some up and down results as well. A close lose 16-14 to TSM, they smashed HR 16-3, but then also lost badly to Navi, Property, and mouz. This shows that both teams, a bit like the LG vs coL game last night, struggle on this map. If you think about how the map is designed and set out, this isn’t THAT much of a surprise. Toilets are basically just tiny little choke points and angles that can work out favourably for you, or hinder.
Envy looked like they were still hungover from LAN yesterday, and Dignitas actually showed good form, beating mouz 2-0, and Titan 16-5. The nV players all have around 30 hours on CS the last 2 weeks, where as the Dignitas boys are mostly pushing 50. Although the difference isn’t THAT great, it does show they have at least been practicing with schneider.
I would put the real odds at around 65-35/60-40 due to Envy having more skill in their roster than the Dignitas boys. If the odds stay below 35%, I would recommend going ICB on Dignitas, or SKIP.
My odds for this match: Dignitas 35:65 EnVyUs
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