Russia has played pretty well so far in this tourney. The individual plays of some of the players have been very eye opening and an all round pleasure to watch. They have played three times, twice against teams which didn’t stand much of a chance and once against Norway. Against Tunisia and Kyrgyzstan, they pretty much crushed them, barely allowing them to gain any rounds (16-10,16-2, 16-3 and 16-4). Norway on the other hand was a closer series, going into the third map. Russia won 2-1, OT on the first map (Overpass, 16-16), losing on Dust 2 but then claimed Mirage and that got them the win. Other than their recent matches, there isn’t much else to say about them, besides that all the players have had their good moments.
France’s lineup looks more complete, probably because they have all played together before. Like Russia, they have had a flawless tourney. France initially played two BO1’s to start this off, winning against the USA 16-4 on Dust 2 but losing to Poland in OT on Cobblestone which was a sad sight to see. However, in the BO3 matches, France absolutely smashed past Germany and the Netherlands. Against Germany, France won both of the maps with absolutely ease, allowing just 9 rounds across two maps to slip past. The match against the Netherlands was another 2-0 but Dust 2 went into the final round, France still won though. France hasn’t had any stand out performances, but all the players have been playing pretty well.
France should take this series, but Russia also does have some good players and we’ve seen them do pretty well. If odds remain what they currently are (75-25) I’ll be going onto France but I do think that they’ll go beyond 80% which doesn’t really make it a worthwhile bet in my eyes.
My odds for this match: Russia 20:80 France
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