Stats for the Penta and VP as they've appeared on Tipify
A list of recent matches this team has played, green indicates a win and red a loss. Blue is a draw/cancelled
Penta have been doing pretty well as underdogs in their recent BO1’s, and they have managed to pull off some nice wins against teams like EnvyUs, Na’vi and VP. All of this happened in BO1’s, which are prime for upsets. Though, they have lost a considerable amount of BO1’s recently for ESL ESEA, where they haven’t found much success. In the past 4 days, they have played 6 BO1’s, and they were only able to win one, and that was the match against VP. They lost to HR, Dignitas, TSM, Titan and Fnatic. Their latest BO3 was against the UK based Infused 2 days ago, where they won 2-0.
Overall, I would say that Penta are a decent T2 team with some tendencies to do well against T1 teams, but there is really no telling if they will do well or not.
VP have a major in less than a week, and I’m not too sure if an online BO1 will concern them too much. This match will be played on Train, VP’s best recent map, and if they want to do well in the major, they can’t use their strats on Train otherwise other teams will study them and take advantage of them. Still, they can use basic strats and their aim to get them through. Since playing their Azubu showmatch (end result: 3-1 win for VP against Na’vi), they have had just BO1 matches for the ESL ESEA league and FaceIt. They played a total of 8 matches and won 3 (TSM, HR and NiP). Their losses were against TSM, Fnatic x2, Penta and HR. Can’t really base an accurate and quality prediction off the performance of a handful of BO1 matches so close to an important event.
I would advise a straight up skip or ICB if Penta sits on 15% or less. Train is a good map for VP, but if we see Penta play their hearts out, they do have the potential to make it a very close match.
My odds for this match: Penta 20:80 VP
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