I’m not sure why Na’Vi are favored by so much here, in my opinion this should be straight up 50-50. At the ibuypower cup they looked very good by beating Renegades 16-0, but unfortunately for them they had to play the upcoming winners of the tournament Cloud9 who beat them 2-0. They didn’t really get a good chance there, but at least they got to go to the RGN Lan right after. At the RGN Lan Luminosity looked very good. At first they went 5-0 in maps against teams like NME, Torqued, and more. Their first BO3 was against Liquid where they lost 1-2. This definitely could have gone either way, as two of the maps went to overtime. Luminosity had a close match against Games Academy where they won 2-1, then fell to the Renegades squad who were determined to make it to the final. Overall they had a pretty good showing at these Lans, but they haven’t had too much of a break since then.
Na’Vi’s last Lan was the CEVO finals, where they lost both matches to Mouz and Titan. They’ve played pretty badly actually, and they couldn’t even take a single map off of Mouz. Their online matches haven’t been very great either, losing to Penta on cobblestone and Fnatic 0-2 with only three rounds on each map. Guardian has been a beast as normal lately, but they still can’t get many wins with his carrying. He actually got a 40 bomb against Fnatic on Dust2, and they still lose 14-16. Guardian even said gg early against Fnatic, which makes me thing their may be a bit of raging from him, or some internal problems.
Luminosity don’t usually do well in BO3s. They have won few against strong European teams, and they actually played Na’Vi in a BO3 at Cluj. They lost 0-2, but each map was close. It was close when Na’Vi were playing really well, and now they aren’t playing well at all. If Luminosity want to win a good BO3 anytime soon this is their chance. Right now the odds are great for a low bet on Luminosity.
My odds for this match: Na’Vi 50:50 Luminosity
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