I’m not gonna say much here as it is simply not needed, mirage is one of Astralis’s best maps and FlipSid3 stands no chance on it.
FlipSid3 are very mediocre right now, they somehow made it to the grand final of Acer Predator Masters recently and that was pretty much the only good event they had in the recent weeks, I’m also talking about their online performance as it wasn’t the best either. FlipSid3 used to be very good on mirage but their last few matches looked very bad, they’ve won only 5 rounds against mousesports and 9 against PANTERS, beat few weaker teams like Copenhagen Wolves, PENTA and Planetkey, nothing more than that really.
Astralis are the clear favorites coming into this match, the map favors them a lot as they are currently at 80% winrate on mirage and it was their pick by the look of things, recently they beat Na`Vi, mousesports, Alternate Attax, Method and got beaten by ENVYUS. Astralis are not doing that well in general lately, they are still considered as one of the best teams but the recent tournaments didn’t go that well for them, still a team like FlipSid3 shouldn’t be a big issue for them and they should be able to take this very easily knowing that they feel very comfortable on this map.
My odds for this match: Astralis 80:20 FSid3
Last time I went large against Flipsid3, I lost 300$. Envy vs F3, BO3. Never forget. The map is Mirage here, this is the first matchup on Lounge and honestly, Astralis should be taking this rather convincingly, they are better than F3 in every aspect of the game, however eh. Astralis have been bootcamping the whole past this week or so, according to their Twitters at least, so that is something going in their favor here, should clear out any shakiness out of their play, however could also perhaps mean they might try some new things, which I mean could benefit F3 here. Mirage is a good map for both of these teams, F3 recently has been a bit shaky on it, however historically they’ve had some very good results on it, so I am keeping my hopes semi-high. It is a BO1, and like I always say, let WorldEdit get a 3k pistol, on both pistols, win the antiecos and first gun rounds, few clutches here and there and you can take it, have Bondik and WorldEdit have the game of their lives, while Device and Dupreeh are struggling, and it’s very possible. Overall for me this is around a 75-25 in favor of Astralis here. I see little point betting on them here seeing as they are on 90% at the moment, not worth it. Flipsid3 is a decent tier 2 team, and going high on a T1 vs T2 BO1 on a map that is good for both teams? No, no thank you, I will pass that opportunity, thank you very much.
Simply put, don’t see it worth betting on Astralis here, would be kinda stupid too. 90-10, T1 vs T2 BO1 on a map that is good for both teams? Yeah isn’t happening. If the odds stay like they are, right now 13% for F3, I will simply throw a few garbage skins on them in the hopes that x8 my investment. So yeah, just simply gonna ICB F3 here.
My odds = 75-25 Astralis
My risk = High
My bet = ICB Flipsid3
My advice = ICB Flipsid3
My odds for this match: Astralis 75:25 FSid3
BO1 on Mirage, a map both teams really like playing. Astralis’s most recent win on Mirage was against Na’Vi for ESL as well. Astralis won thanks to a really solid CT side after being down 11:5. FlipSid3 are coming back from lan and might be a bit tired of travelling and partying and what not, Mirage is one of FlipSid3’s best maps and they are extremely solid on this map although they are not quite a team who can compete with tier1 teams on this map.
Overall Astralis should have this in the bag, they are the better team and should simply win this. I am not expecting FlipSid3 to upset here at all as, like I said, they aren’t really a team who can compete against tier1 teams on Mirage.
If the odds end up being 90%+ for Astralis then it’s simply going to be an ICB on FlipSid3 but as of now the odds are still below 90%, I suggest a medium bet on Astralis, 10% of your inventory.
My odds for this match: Astralis 80:20 FSid3
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