Stats for the AffNity and Lunatik as they've appeared on Tipify
Another interesting match here, sees the old AffNity(3sUP) up vs Lunatik. Honestly, this match is hard to call as both sides on their day, can compete with most NA sides and look decent. Going the other way, both sides can look exceedingly average at times.
The last time I saw 3sUP, they seemed to go full tilt and choke the last map and honestly didn’t impress me that much. They have however, added Kiko into their roster, who is an old experienced player who once played with n0thing swag azk etc. He actually impressed me, and you could see signs of his old skill coming back.
Lunatik are kind of the same. They recently picked up Dumore, which should add more experience into their ranks, and standing in for this match will be stanislaw, who until recently was playing with Tstorm. He was their IGL I believe, so should be able to guide the slightly inconsistent Lunatik players into providing a good show.
To me the odds for this match are 60-40 in favour of 3sUP, edging perhaps even to 65-35 depending on how Lunatik will be with a stand-in. As as a result, the safer bet would be to go on 3sUP, as in my opinion they have the higher chance of taking this 2-0. The result has a high chance of being 1-1, which of course means you get your skins back, and because of this, sometimes betting the safer option in these type matches is the better option.
I will go on 3sUP so long as the odds don’t move too far above 65%, where I will probably ICB on Lunatik, or SKIP.
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My odds for this match: AffNity 60:40 Lunatik
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Recommend rules for betting:
Max: 20%, Large: 15%, Medium: 10%
Small: 5% & ICB: 1% or lower