I was hoping CSGL could quickly 2-0 CPH so I know the opponent and write the pred for this, however that is not the case and they are in a 3rd map with 40 minutes to go here, so let me rush this. Obviously either CSGL or CPH here, should be CPH but what do I know. This is a BO3 that Ancient should be taking no matter what opposition, granted it should be a bit more closer with CSGL than if it was CPH, however not by too much, like perhaps 5% in the difference. Anceint should once again be winning, especially if their players, especially Twist and Schneider are on point it should be pretty convincing, however it is Ancient and they tend to like to make things more difficult than needed to be. It is a BO3 which adds a cushion of safety, and while I can see them dropping a map, especially to CSGL, should not drop two given the form of both CPH and CSGL. 70-30 if CSGL, 75-25 if CPH.
Still a high risk since it is CSGL/CPH, inconsistencies are hard. 5% Ancient if below 80%, otherwise 2% TBD. Hate doing these sort of tBD matches but it is what it is.
My odds = 70-30 if CSGL, 75-25 if CPH in favor of Ancient both
My risk = High
My bet = 5% Ancient if below 80% in both scenarios.
My advice Same as my bet
My odds for this match: Ancient 70:30 CSGL
Ancient had a rather disappointing match a few days ago against Hellraisers. I personally think that I underestimated Hellraisers completely and should not have said that it would be easy for Ancient, both Ancient and Hellraisers seem to be on the same level so I’m not proud of that call. Ancient will now play against either CSGL or CPH Wolves and honestly, neither one of these teams are like Hellraisers, CPH Wolves have a rather weak mappool and CSGL have been off for quite some time. I honestly expect Ancient to win this BO3, they should be the better team and even though they haven’t been in the scene with this team as long, they have achieved more than CPH so far by qualifying for DreamHack Malmo.
I wouldn’t suggest going too big on this one as the major is coming up, so keep things low.
My odds for this match: Ancient 75:25 CSGL
Looks like it will be CSGL facing off against Ancient here, and by looking at the current odds, it doesn’t make a lot of sense. CSGL are incredibly inconsistent, but they are showing their strength on the 3rd map here, and that is pleasing coming into this game. On top of that, they managed to beat Ancient 2-1 last time, so they have proven before, when they are on point, they can take them down. By knowing this, and then looking at the odds, they don’t make a whole lot of sense. I do think Ancient are the better team, but 27% for CSGL, when they won last time makes no sense at all. This is a 60-40/65-35 at best match. The last time these two sides played, the maps were incredibly close, with one map going to OT, 16-14 and 16-12 the other too. As long as CSGL are below 35%, I would drop 2-3% on them.
My odds for this match: Ancient 65:35 CSGL
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