eSport betting tips: Against all odds, together
Kinguin

CS:GO
ESL

Best Of 1
2015/08/20 15:25 UTC

Winner Luminosity
Luminosity
Live Odds
Kinguin
Luminosity

Decimal Odds percentage example decimal

Kinguin vs. LG @ESL Predictions

Kinguin
Something important which a few people could overlook, is Kinguin’s new coach. LEGIJA. He is an ex-professional player for Mouzsports. When he quit actively playing, he took the position of a coach and was then later signed on to be the coach for the now ex-Nihilum squad, which didn’t turn out too well. More recently, he was signed on with Kinguin as their coach, and I personally think he is a good fit. He may not be the best aimer in the world, however this man is filled with knowledge, and I believe he can bring something new to the table for Kinguin. This will be his first time coaching Kinguin at a LAN, so this is all or nothing for him.

Kinguin have been fairly active this month, game wise. They have played 8 matches, and they won all of them. Do keep in mind that 3/8 of those wins were fairly easy wins, against melty and SpaceS (twice). Their most recent match was about a week ago against SpaceS, where they won a BO3 series with ease, 2-0 on Train and Dust 2. I suspect that they weren’t using too many strats, and due to previous encounters, they were using ‘old’ and common strats, combined with their aim to win. Their last notable match was against Mouz for the PGL EU Season 1 Qualifiers. Kinguin made it to the grand finals, where they were put up against Mouz in a BO5. Kinguin did 3-0 them with relative ease on Cache, Dust 2 and Train. Cache and Dust 2 finished with a big gap in the scoreline, where Mouz failed to gain many rounds, however Train was a lot closer, and it ended as a 16-13 win for Kinguin. Close but no cigar.

There’s no telling how Kinguin will do in this major. They got a new coach, this is their first major and there is a lot of pressure on these all-stars. I do believe they will be able to place well in the end, but the likelihood of them ending up in a high position is unlikely. Good luck to these boys!

Luminosity Gaming (LG)
This isn’t the LAN failing NA squad, but rather, the Brazilian ex-KeyD lineup. As they were in the last major and they placing in the top 8, they have been invited back by default, and they did not have to go through the qualifier to play this year. Before getting signed to LG, they did have a roster change, and ‘zqk’ left, as ‘cold’ takes his place. I personally believe that this was a good change, as zqk didn’t perform well enough to keep up with the rest of the team.

As LG, the Brazilian squad hasn’t played any matches. In fact, they have been pretty inactive ever since the ESWC LAN held in Montreal, where they attended as KeyD. Since then, they pretty much haven’t played in quite some time. At ESWC, ex-KeyD didn’t pass the group stage, following BO1 defeats by Cloud 9 and Flipsid3, however they did win, 16-3 against Boreal, which is a Canadian team which are no namers. There isn’t much fresh information on these guys, but from what we’ve seen in the past, this is the best that Brazil has to offer us, in terms of CSGO players.

Risks
•First match for these two teams at ESL
•New Kinguin coach
•First major Kinguin have attended – added pressure
•LG haven’t played much since signing on
•No real indicator to how they are doing

Prediction
I know for a fact that LG were bootcamping prior to attending Cologne, but I’m pretty sure every other team participating was bootcamping too, so that shouldn’t really be a distinctive advantage. If the odds stay below 35-40% for LG, I’d just say chuck a low bet on them. I’m hoping that the Brazilians bring something new to the table and they surprise us, as well as blowing Kinguin away. Kinguin are not push overs, by all means, and this will be a pretty hard match to call. Still, Kinguin have been making improvements and it’s just a matter of time before we really see how they’re coping with Legija as a coach. I’ll most likely end up placing some skins on Kinguin, but just listen to your gut and use this as a second opinion.

My odds for this match: Kinguin 65:35 Luminosity

Kinguin
Something important which a few people could overlook, is Kinguin’s new coach. LEGIJA. He is an ex-professional player for Mouzsports. When he quit actively playing, he took the position of a coach and was then later signed on to be the coach for the now ex-Nihilum squad, which didn’t turn out too well. More recently, he was signed on with Kinguin as their coach, and I personally think he is a good fit. He may not be the best aimer in the world, however this man is filled with knowledge, and I believe he can bring something new to the table for Kinguin. This will be his first time coaching Kinguin at a LAN, so this is all or nothing for him.

Kinguin have been fairly active this month, game wise. They have played 8 matches, and they won all of them. Do keep in mind that 3/8 of those wins were fairly easy wins, against melty and SpaceS (twice). Their most recent match was about a week ago against SpaceS, where they won a BO3 series with ease, 2-0 on Train and Dust 2. I suspect that they weren’t using too many strats, and due to previous encounters, they were using ‘old’ and common strats, combined with their aim to win. Their last notable match was against Mouz for the PGL EU Season 1 Qualifiers. Kinguin made it to the grand finals, where they were put up against Mouz in a BO5. Kinguin did 3-0 them with relative ease on Cache, Dust 2 and Train. Cache and Dust 2 finished with a big gap in the scoreline, where Mouz failed to gain many rounds, however Train was a lot closer, and it ended as a 16-13 win for Kinguin. Close but no cigar.

There’s no telling how Kinguin will do in this major. They got a new coach, this is their first major and there is a lot of pressure on these all-stars. I do believe they will be able to place well in the end, but the likelihood of them ending up in a high position is unlikely. Good luck to these boys!

Luminosity Gaming (LG)
This isn’t the LAN failing NA squad, but rather, the Brazilian ex-KeyD lineup. As they were in the last major and they placing in the top 8, they have been invited back by default, and they did not have to go through the qualifier to play this year. Before getting signed to LG, they did have a roster change, and ‘zqk’ left, as ‘cold’ takes his place. I personally believe that this was a good change, as zqk didn’t perform well enough to keep up with the rest of the team.

As LG, the Brazilian squad hasn’t played any matches. In fact, they have been pretty inactive ever since the ESWC LAN held in Montreal, where they attended as KeyD. Since then, they pretty much haven’t played in quite some time. At ESWC, ex-KeyD didn’t pass the group stage, following BO1 defeats by Cloud 9 and Flipsid3, however they did win, 16-3 against Boreal, which is a Canadian team which are no namers. There isn’t much fresh information on these guys, but from what we’ve seen in the past, this is the best that Brazil has to offer us, in terms of CSGO players.

Risks
•First match for these two teams at ESL
•New Kinguin coach
•First major Kinguin have attended – added pressure
•LG haven’t played much since signing on
•No real indicator to how they are doing

Prediction
I know for a fact that LG were bootcamping prior to attending Cologne, but I’m pretty sure every other team participating was bootcamping too, so that shouldn’t really be a distinctive advantage. If the odds stay below 35-40% for LG, I’d just say chuck a low bet on them. I’m hoping that the Brazilians bring something new to the table and they surprise us, as well as blowing Kinguin away. Kinguin are not push overs, by all means, and this will be a pretty hard match to call. Still, Kinguin have been making improvements and it’s just a matter of time before we really see how they’re coping with Legija as a coach. I’ll most likely end up placing some skins on Kinguin, but just listen to your gut and use this as a second opinion.

My odds for this match: Kinguin 65:35 Luminosity

LG odds are fairly skewed in my eyes, they are strong on lan usually + they just got a sick upgrade when they got cold in the team instead of zqk.
Kinguin is good yes, but take a look against who they have won recently, not a single tier 1 team in my eyes. (won against Efrag 2 times – and nearly lost to Space Soldiers)
LG is playing a navi style, slow and methodicly and i think this will fit well against Kinguin.

Maps should be like this:
I highly expect either inferno,cache or d2 to be played. Both teams love this maps and i think LG got a shot on all of them. Any other map would surprise me.

High Risk – High Reward
But its bo1 ^_^

My odds for this match: Kinguin 60:40 Luminosity

Match Lineup Stats

Side by Side

Kinguin
Vs.
Luminosity
83
Played
191
44
Wins
125
30
Losses
47
9
Other
19
59.5
Win Rate
72.7

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