Esuba vs GPD here in the throw arena as we often call it, and I honestly don’t really understand these odds. Esuba should be more favoured than this, they have better players, better results, and have been a team for longer. They only recently came 2nd at a local LAN, losing to oskar’s old team in the final,a match they should of won. Their most popular map seems to be Mirage, a map they have played a lot, with as high as a 75% win rate on it. They are also proficient on inferno, and expect to see KAPARZO putting up big numbers.
Let’s look at the hours for eSuba
KAPARZO: 45.6 ;
rdo: 67.5 hours in the last 2 weeks
benq1aw: 46.1 hours in the last 2 weeks
MonttY: 40.7 hours in the last 2 weeks
The last member has a private profile. This shows they aren’t the most active team right now, but as they have been together a while, their strats on most maps are probably already down, so this shouldn’t hurt them THAT bad.
Moving onto their opponent. GamplayDNA are the best Lithuanian side, and have a lot of experience as a team. They have had a steady roster for a long time, unfortunately lacking some of the results needed to get a clear indication of the level they are at. They had a really poor performance against AT back in November on inferno. Their best result, a win against OB also comes on the same map, so it is hard to know whether they like the map or not. They seem to be also good on d2, and may aim for something like that tonight.
The guys hours in the last 2 weeks :
kalinka: 52.4 hours in the last 2 weeks
TORAS: 44.6 hours in the last 2 weeks
Kvik: 44 hours in the last 2 weeks
lukjjE: 43.8 hours in the last 2 weeks
fender: 44.6 hours in the last 2 weeks
Looking at the hours, the only thing we can work out is it seems all of their hours were used playing together, as they are all so similar. Having quality hours together, over many hours playing whatever can be helpful to a team to build synergy and learn the way your team mate plays, and your weaknesses as a squad.
Overall, this is a hard to predict game, and a game that could go either way. I think with this being the famous throw arena, and a BO1, your best idea is to go LOW/ICB on the underdog and hope they can either show a good performance on inferno, or get it to d2, and show their level. This is a risky game either way and if your bank roll is small, you should SKIP this game. If you feel the need to bet, then LOW underdog only.
My odds for this match: Esuba 60:40 GPD
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