First BO1 of Katowice 2016 between NiP and Mousesports. We have seen Mousesports multiple times in 2016. We know how they played, what maps they like and what maps they don’t like. The thing is, we don’t know the same about NiP. We have no idea what maps they like to play with this line-up and what maps they don’t like to play, did they play some ESL matches and it does look like Mirage is their best map, they haven’t lost on this map so far and had some impressive results on it, beating Navi and Mousesports on this map. So all in all, it’s really hard to predict which map favours NiP and which one doesn’t. Two maps i’m sure of who favour NiP are Train and Mirage, Train is a map Mousesports don’t play at all and Mirage is a map Mousesports do like to play, but NiP just seem to be better on it. NiP also beat Mousesports on Overpass quite recently although, there was some ”nipmagic” needed in this one. Historically, NiP have a good record against Mousesports, they always manage to beat them in BO1’s so I feel like this will once again be a win in favour on NiP. This match doesn’t really feel like a ”play the odds” match, I’m expecting a straight win for NiP no matter the map.
Below 75% for NiP = Medium (10%) on NiP
My odds for this match: mousesports 30:70 NiP
NiP are famous for winning the games they are meant to win, as in beating the sides lesser than them, and this game against mouz is one of these types of games. They did of course play the other week, and it was really close on both maps, but NiP just about had enough to win that game, and I can see the same happening again in this game. I would not at all be surprised if we saw Cache, Overpass or D2, as they seem to favour both sides in some was, but with NiKo having a really awful travelling experience, and ChrisJ really underperforming a lot of the APM LAN, I just think the experience of NiP will shine through here and they will be able to take it. It will be a close game however, so don’t bet too high if you do decide to bet.
My odds for this match: mousesports 35:65 NiP
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