Stats for the NiP and Fnatic as they've appeared on Tipify
An ICB on NiP is the best bet here. Fnatic are pretty much looking insanely good right now, winning all of their matches. They’re on a winning streak and it doesn’t look like they’ll be stopped anytime soon. They won the recent Faceit Lan by beating Luminosty, and they just beat TSM 2-0 to be able to play NiP. Fnatic will probably win this tournament, but I still think an ICB on NiP is best here. NiP looked really good against SK, and they only allowed them to get 8 rounds overall. Now SK weren’t playing their best at all, but it still does show that NiP aren’t doing that badly. Xizt played really well and everyone expected for SK to actually have a chance to upset. Their online matches have also been very good, and while they lost to Fnatic the last time they played they should have a small chance here. 75% is never accurate for any tier 1 game, and this match is no exception. NiP have played Fnatic twice when they’ve had Dennis in online matches, and NiP won one of them.
If NiP are to have any chance at winning this, Friberg needs to play well. Looking at NiP’s recent matches, basically all of their recent wins Friberg played great in. All of their losses had Friberg near the bottom of the leaderboard. He’s been really hit or miss, and so far he’s been nothing special. If he manages to come alive during this match NiP definitely have the potential to upset, but if he has a bad game it’s a death sentence for them. As I said earlier NiP had faced Fnatic twice with Dennins on their team, and the map that NiP won Friberg top fragged. The map Fnatic won Friberg was near the bottom.
As long as Fnatic stays above 70% (which they will) an ICB on NiP is the best option. Good luck!
My odds for this match: NiP 35:65 Fnatic
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Recommend rules for betting:
Max: 20%, Large: 15%, Medium: 10%
Small: 5% & ICB: 1% or lower