Stats for the NiP and Luminosity as they've appeared on Tipify
A list of recent matches this team has played, green indicates a win and red a loss. Blue is a draw/cancelled
This is a tricky one here since obviously Threat is standing in for NiP once again. He did not have the best of games yesterday vs Flipsid3 and did seem quite weak at holding his positions on the CT side yesterday, however did chip in with some nice impact frags here and there, however obviously a downgrade from Pyth. Given that this is a BO1, you have to give respect and acknowledge that NiP can do damage here, it is hard trying to analyse them and come with accurate odds given that they have Threat however got to work with what you are given. Neither team looked the most impressive yesterday, both had close games and just shaky performances however first day of LAN, I think they will bounce back stronger here. Here I do favor LG by a bit however pistols and just clutch rounds and who shows up on the day is what will win this series, it can really go eitherway however 65-35 in favor of LG for me here.
3% LG if below 70%, otherwise 2% NiP
My odds = 65-35 LG
My risk = High
My bet = 3% LG if below 70%, otherwise 2% NiP
My advice = Same as my bet
My odds for this match: NiP 35:65 Luminosity
NiP didn’t look that bad against an amazing FlipSid3 but could have lost it really, THREAT himself kept NiP in the game with multiple clutches but honestly, I think NiP would have done way better if Pyth was playing, THREAT definitely doesn’t look like an upgrade fragging-wise and this will hurt NiP against better teams. f0rest and GeT_RiGhT were as usual gods and both dropped a 30 bomb to bring NiP to a victory in OT, close match, but NiP won it.
LG’s match looked a bit more easy, They beat Mousesports quite comfortably after a really solid CT half on Mirage. I think it’s proven that LG did most definitely save strats the past few weeks for this major, Mousesports didn’t know what to expect from LG and weren’t able to upset. LG look really good and probably after Fnatic the favorites to win this major.
If Pyth was playing then I would say that NiP can win but now with THREAT … I just think that this is too big of a downgrade, he isn’t good fragging wise and might get overrun by LG’s insane aim. NiP can win, but they’re gonna need a lot of NiPMagic but I personally don’t see this happening. LG should win this one.
My odds for this match: NiP 30:70 Luminosity
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