So NiP should be favored here, but as of right now the odds are 68% for NiP and I don’t really think that’s very accurate. On paper this should be easy for NiP. SK’s matches lately tell a different story. They’ve been winning a lot of matches no one expects them too. They recently beat Fnatic on Overpass 16-13 with a really great T side. Just before that they played Mouz on Train. Mouz were on fire at the time, and SK totally shut them down 16-0. They just had another great match two days ago against Gamers2 where they actually won 2-1. Everyone has been playing well for them, and if they manage to hold the form that they are in now at the Lan, they have a chance here.
NiP haven’t played a single online match since the Faceit Lan about 6 days ago, which makes sense. They started off really well by beating Envy 16-8 on Mirage, but they went downhill quickly after that. They ended up playing Fnatic on Dust2 but they couldn’t get anything done on their CT side at all. They ended up losing 4-16, which sent them into a BO3 decider match against Luminosity. NiP lost 1-2, with the only map they won being in overtime. The other two were not as close at all. Let’s remember though that LG ended up barely losing to Fnatic in the final, so they were playing really well.
NiP has faced SK twice before online, and SK has won 1/2 matches. The most recent one, on Mirage, was a little less than a month ago. SK won 16-12, which is pretty good. The second match, 3 months ago, NiP won. This was a 16-9 win for them on Inferno. However, the rosters were different then. This was when SK had K0nfig and SandeN, and they weren’t doing as well at the time. So with these lineups SK has won 1/1 times.
Right now with these odds a low bet on SK is best. No one has been expecting them to play very well, but they’ve proved everyone wrong. They’re the dark horse of this Lan, and if they beat NiP here it will be a big deal for them. Good luck!
My odds for this match: NiP 58:42 SK Gaming
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