Overall I do feel like this is a game that Noble should be winning, especially considering it is a BO3. I do not know too much about Quetzal, however what I do know is that they’ve less hours on steam, lower skilled players and just generally not as good as Noble here. While Noble are somewhat on the rise, Quetzal are struggling to defend versus teams like CLG Red, which really gives me a lack of confidence in them. As long as the Noble guys are firing on all cylinders they should be taking this, they have some good players in that lineup, players that I do not necessarily see Quetzal being able to compete with, such as Virtus when he is on fire with the AWP. Don’t forget thouugh, this is lower tier NA, and that is not, not good. I wouldn’t go high on this mainly due to that fact, however a medium on Noble should be justified here. 80-20 in favor of Noble here, probably overrating them a bit, however I feel this is a game they should be taking.
10% on Noble as long as they are below 88%, if they are above, I’ll probably skip, or if you want you may ICB on Quetzal in the hopes of an upset.
My odds = 80-20 Noble
My risk = Medium
My bet = 10% Noble unless above 88%, in which case skip/icb quetzal
My advice = Same as my bet
My odds for this match: Noble 80:20 QuetzaL
This should be a fairly straight forward game here for the boys of Noble. Quetzal are not a side that I know a lot about, but losing a map to CLG red is not something that should impress people or make Noble scared of them. They do need to be cautious though, as things can get tricky when you play a side you don’t know a lot about, especially from another region than the one they are from.
Noble are a side that are improving, and the introduction of yay was a really good piece of business. Their performance against ex-AA was impressive, and they will go into this game full of confidence. With the odds currently how they are, and the performances of Quetzal not impressing us, the most logical thing you can do is go MED on Noble, and hope they can continue their good form against the lesser known Mexican side.
My odds for this match: Noble 70:30 QuetzaL
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