I’m not sure why the odds are as they are now, 62-38 in favour of a slumping Gambit who just look straight up bad. They got destroyed in the DreamHack Malmo qualifier by Hellraisers and only managed to get 10 rounds on two maps, that’s kind of depressing if you ask me. Gambit, the team that quite convincingly managed to qualifiy for the Major and were extremely motivated seems to have lost their motivation in all the other matches that are planned before the Major. IMO, Gambit shouldn’t be the overdog here. We saw Penta yesterday, they lost to Epsilon but honestly, both Mirage and Cache are the only maps Epsilon can play so overall Penta just sort of ruined their veto, sure, Penta themself are good on Cache and Mirage too but Epsilon picked Cobblestone, Penta 15-0’ed them there and Penta themself picked Mirage, I was rather surprised by this pick and actually expected Dust2 so Penta could close it out 2-0 but instead they picked Mirage and lost the game 2-1. Penta are overall looking good, but it’s sad that they lost this game due to their own mistake in the veto.
Overall this is going to be a really close game, Gambit should not be heavily overdogs here as Penta are as good as Gambit. This is a 50-50 match to me so the most obvious pick would be a low bet on Penta unless Gambit become underdogs.
My odds for this match: Penta 50:50 Gambit
This one is a tricky one. Obviously Gambit is attending the major in a week so they are most likely prepared individually, however I am unsure how much they will show in the means of strats. To be honest, do you really need advanced strats to beat Penta tho? Like individually I favor Gambit here, as long as their players are hitting their shots and Lowel isn’t deciding to have the best series of his life, Gambit should be able to win. Gambit is not in the best shape of their life right now online, however I still reckon they should be slightly favored here, mainly because I do not rate Penta too highly right now. The Gambit boys have on average like 120 hours the past 2 weeks which is craaaazy, they are definitely preparing here, the thing is Penta also have like 100~ hours average so it’s not like a crazy 100 hours vs 40. If WayLander, Dosia and Mou are firing here, they should be able to win, however they are historically up and down players, and they are showing it right now so I would not bet my house on it. Overall 60-40 in favor of Gambit here.
5% Gambit if under 65%, otherwise 2-3% Penta here.
My odds = 60-40 Gambit.
My risk = High
My bet = 5% Gambit if under 65%, otherwise 2-3% Penta.
My advice = Same as my bet
My odds for this match: Penta 40:60 Gambit
This game for Gambit is honestly not that important. The Kinguin cup, albeit a nice chance to win a bit of money, is nothing compared to the major they will be attending soon. The chance for Gambit to really care about this game is really slim, and a LOW bet on Penta here, seems to make the most amount of sense. Penta showed good and bad points against Epsilon yesterday, but do have some good players in their roster in mikeS, loWel and tabseN. These three if they are performing well, can damage and hurt a Gambit side that should be playing this match with only 1 eye open. With the odds currently being around 40% for Penta, I would suggest a low bet on them, even up to the point where they are at around 50% odds. I think they have a chance here, and 4-5% of your inventory on it, would make for a good underdog bet.
My odds for this match: Penta 45:55 Gambit
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