mouz should be playing this game with 1, potentially 2 stand-ins. Having no AWP is obviously going to harm them, NiKo might be a good player, but how he plays is totally different to that of chrisj. On top of that, they will also be calling in English I would presume, the very reason NiKo isn’t in their main 5 to begin with. All in all this adds up to potentially a one sided game. The fire power in mouz though, does have potential to make it more interesting if fnatic are off their game.
Looking at the odds on CSGL, they don’t make for good reading. Betting on fnatic would be crazy, and betting on mouz seems almost pointless. I firmly believe fnatic will take this, but would advise either shoving some trash on mouz, or skipping, there is better games today.
My odds for this match: Fnatic 65:35 mousesports
Fnatic had ~1 week to recover from their last major event which they left as #1 team in the world while mouz exited the tournament early and unexpected in the group stage.
Obviously teams tend to play much weaker after a LAN which makes it at least a medium risk match for me. On the other hand this shouldn’t be more than routine for fnatic, as it’s a relatively important match for them, to reach the final match of the PGL LAN qualifier (75.000$ LAN). Mouz will play with Niko instead of ChrisJ, myzz already explained that it’s a significant downgrade in terms of calls and strats, as they will have to do it in english. I don’t think mouz will have a real shot in this bo3. their best chance would be cache and d2 though.
My odds for this match: Fnatic 75:25 mousesports
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