This matchup is part of StarLadder, these teams are trying to qualify for LAN, and because in group stage 2 they were in the bottom half of their group they are now competing with each other as well as nV and Dig for that last spot. The winner of this match will face the winner of the other two teams.
(ex) TSM have been very shaky recenlty, losing games they absolutely should win, like vs SK who many would rank around EFrag’s level. One very important thing to note here is that TSM will getting home pretty soon before this starts. The LAN they were attending just ended yesterday, and teams generally book hotels and flights until the last day or even the day after an event ends. TSM are really known for being shaky after either travels or extended periods of not playing. Given their already not so stellar form and the fact that they will probably be very tired from playing and traveling, they most likely won’t be in top form.
EFrag are a very on and off team. Going out 2-0 vs Titan then right after 2-1ing Na’Vi, they are a bit unpredictable. One thing that could both help and hurt Efrag is the veto system. It is ban x4 and pick x2, so while they will be able to get out their worst maps so will TSM.
Let’s look at the vetoes. EFrag will remove mirage, and TSM cbbl, with TSM’s second veto going to cache.. That leaves 5 other maps.
Inferno: 63-37 TSM
Train: 60-40 TSM
Overpass: 60-40 TSM
D2: 65-35 TSM
So any of the three maps being played should all favor TSM, but the thing is if they don’t show up like they do at times then this won’t matter. No matter how strong a map “normally” is if you aren’t hitting shots that doesn’t matter.
I in no way can justify betting on TSM here. I’d recommend very small on EFrag as long as they stay above about 65%, as anything beyond that they don’t really deserve.
My odds for this match: Team SoloMid 65:35 E-frag.net
A list of recent matches this team has played, green indicates a win and red a loss. Blue is a draw/cancelled
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