Posted 19th December 2017 By: Kyle-Tipify Staff
The first Dota 2 Major that kicks off the year 2018 will be the Galaxy Battles II: Emerging Worlds. The tournament, hosted by Fallout Gaming, takes place in The Philippine Arena in Bulacan–the largest arena in the Philippines. Galaxy Battles, as a major tournament, boasts a $1 million cash prize along with 1,500 PCP for its winners. But before that, the last region that needs to qualify is the China region and its China Qualifiers just recently kicked off its playoff stages.
The Qualifying Tournament will be played online and only one Dota 2 team can advance to the Major tournament next year. Teams that are vying for that one spot are Vici Gaming, LGD Gaming, CDEC Gaming, EHOME, Invictus Gaming, iG Vitality, Keen Gaming, VGJ.Thunder, SunGaming, and Newbee.M.
The Qualifying Tournament is formatted as; eight teams divided into two groups and feature a best-of-three double-elimination bracket, but only one team from each group gets to advance to Stage 2. Finally, Stage 2 will be a best-of-three single-elimination and the winner gets to join Galaxy Battles II.
These are the four matches slated today, December 19, with the odds drawn from Arcanebet.
Vici Gaming and LGD Gaming are the two teams who have already claimed the Stage 2 semi-finals spot and awaiting are the final two contenders that are still on Stage 1.
The matches continue tomorrow at 11 CST and the first game pits EHOME and IG.Vitality against each other as the former team is listed as the favorite to win with 1.34 odds and the latter team with 3.11 odds to win the match.
The next match is CDEC vs Newbee Miracle, putting CDEC as match favorite with 1.50 odds and the third team of Newbee, Newbee Miracle with 2.49 odds to win the match.
The third match sees Keen Gaming vs Invictus Gaming with 2.50 odds and 1.46 odds respectively.
The final match of the day is VGJ.Thunder vs Sun Gaming. VGJ is listed as the match favorite with 1.26 odds and Sun with 3.60 odds to win the match.
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When you first start out you’ll be tempted to try to bet as frequently as possible, don’t. Wait for matches with good odds where you or the predictors know the teams. Never force yourself to bet, bet on matches that you are confident in. You may go days or weeks without placing a bet, you’re not in a rush, wait for bets you are comfortable and confident in and profit should follow.
If there’s any uncertainty, don’t place a bet. Save your skins for another day. There will be plenty of other matches that you can bet on.
Betting is always risky, that’s unavoidable. But staying inside a ‘safe zone’ will help cover you off from some really silly bets. When starting out with a low inventory, large bets placed on matches with 80%+ odds aren’t going to return much in general (on lounge, even less due to the inconsistent returns) but you’re still risking a large amount of your inventory for very little.
Equally, odds below 30% sound very, very attractive with huge returns possible. But if you don’t know the teams or all the details, it’s very possible the team doesn’t stand any chance. If you think there might be a chance, reduce the size of the stake or consider an ICB.
Always bet with a percentage of your inventory. Think, what happens if you lose an ‘All in’ bet, do you stop betting for the rest of your life, or just get your wallet out and go again? You may think there’s no risk, however there is always risk. If you’re placing a high bet, stick to an absolute maximum of 20% of your betting inventory.
Always leave enough to bet another day.
If you’re feeling angry or frustrated, your judgement get’s very cloudy. You’ll make a stupid bet and lose. If you just lost a big bet or are on a losing streak, instead of trying to force a bet, you should take a step back, calm down and just take a break, come back refreshed with a fresh mindset.
Betting blind is a purely relying on luck, if the underdog odds are 30%, that definitely doesn’t mean the team has a 30% chance of winning. It just means 30% of the betting community chose that team. A late roster change could mean there’s zero chance for the team to win. Check in with our predictions to help give you some more background on the game.
Use the lounge odds tracker to predict the final odds as the start of the match get’s closer. If the odds are increasing/decreasing for the team you intend to bet on the return may not outweigh the risk anymore. A huge significant switch of odds at the last moment may mean that something shady is going on, mostly in very low tier games, or a sudden announcement, E.g standin may have occurred.
Bookies will put up their odds based on their own expectations, as the bets start coming in they'll tweak the odds to ensure it's still profitable for them. That early stage is key to getting an edge on the bookies.
As soon as you feel like you have to bet again to recoup loses, you’ll feel compelled to make bigger bets with bigger risks. This often starts an endless cycle driving your losses further and further. Instead, after a big loss, take a day off from betting (or a week if was really big). .Keep to the proper bet sizing based on the risk of the match no matter what. You are not in a race to win it back, just take it easy.
Do not blindly follow betting site odds and think that they are correct to the true odds. If a betting site has ‘Team A’ as a heavy favorite, it does not always mean that it’s an easy win for ‘Team A’.
SK beat Na’Vi… Na’Vi beat E-Frag. That means SK can beat E-Frag now, right? No.
There are many factors which contribute to the team winning a match, these factors such as player performance, map selection, strategy and tactics which may not apply to other teams.