Posted 16th January 2018 By: Kyle-Tipify Staff
The first week of the Overwatch League launched successfully. On its first day, its viewers hit over 300,000 on Twitch. To put it in context, a CS:GO and Dota 2 major tournament a playoff match peaks at around 100,000. In hindsight, maybe Blizzard’s opening day free coins giveaway for their Overwatch players helped. But, 300,000 viewers in a regular season match is no joke.
Going into the results of Week 1 matches, it is the predicted futures leaders who dominated the league. Valiant, Spitfire, Dynasty, and Excelsior have not lost a match and have 2-0 win-loss records. The next teams in the middle that have 1-1 records include Uprising, Gladiators, Shock, and Fusion. Lastly, the current teams in the bottom of the standings are Outlaws, Fuel, Mayhem, and Dragons all have yet to win a game in the league.
Los Angeles Valiant is the current number one team in the league who finished Week 1 without any match or round losses. Valiant ended the week with its record unscathed. Although, Dallas was the closest to knock down Valiant after getting a draw on the second map of their match. Whereas its co-leaders, Spitfire, Dynasty, and Excelsior all lost on a map in their two matches in Week 1.
Both Overwatch teams have 1-1 in win-loss records. In which, they need to win this game if they want to go up to the standings. Fusion is the match favorite to win with -342 odds and the Shock as underdogs against +249 odds.
Mayhem is looking for its first season win against the Dynasty. But they would have to work for it as they are the match underdogs with +1214 odds against the Korean league favorites with -6667 odds.
Both of these teams have yet to win in the league and obviously, one team will exit the match with a victory. The Outlaws are underdogs against +376 odds and the Dragons with -571 odds as the match favorites to win.
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When you first start out you’ll be tempted to try to bet as frequently as possible, don’t. Wait for matches with good odds where you or the predictors know the teams. Never force yourself to bet, bet on matches that you are confident in. You may go days or weeks without placing a bet, you’re not in a rush, wait for bets you are comfortable and confident in and profit should follow.
If there’s any uncertainty, don’t place a bet. Save your skins for another day. There will be plenty of other matches that you can bet on.
Betting is always risky, that’s unavoidable. But staying inside a ‘safe zone’ will help cover you off from some really silly bets. When starting out with a low inventory, large bets placed on matches with 80%+ odds aren’t going to return much in general (on lounge, even less due to the inconsistent returns) but you’re still risking a large amount of your inventory for very little.
Equally, odds below 30% sound very, very attractive with huge returns possible. But if you don’t know the teams or all the details, it’s very possible the team doesn’t stand any chance. If you think there might be a chance, reduce the size of the stake or consider an ICB.
Always bet with a percentage of your inventory. Think, what happens if you lose an ‘All in’ bet, do you stop betting for the rest of your life, or just get your wallet out and go again? You may think there’s no risk, however there is always risk. If you’re placing a high bet, stick to an absolute maximum of 20% of your betting inventory.
Always leave enough to bet another day.
If you’re feeling angry or frustrated, your judgement get’s very cloudy. You’ll make a stupid bet and lose. If you just lost a big bet or are on a losing streak, instead of trying to force a bet, you should take a step back, calm down and just take a break, come back refreshed with a fresh mindset.
Betting blind is a purely relying on luck, if the underdog odds are 30%, that definitely doesn’t mean the team has a 30% chance of winning. It just means 30% of the betting community chose that team. A late roster change could mean there’s zero chance for the team to win. Check in with our predictions to help give you some more background on the game.
Use the lounge odds tracker to predict the final odds as the start of the match get’s closer. If the odds are increasing/decreasing for the team you intend to bet on the return may not outweigh the risk anymore. A huge significant switch of odds at the last moment may mean that something shady is going on, mostly in very low tier games, or a sudden announcement, E.g standin may have occurred.
Bookies will put up their odds based on their own expectations, as the bets start coming in they'll tweak the odds to ensure it's still profitable for them. That early stage is key to getting an edge on the bookies.
As soon as you feel like you have to bet again to recoup loses, you’ll feel compelled to make bigger bets with bigger risks. This often starts an endless cycle driving your losses further and further. Instead, after a big loss, take a day off from betting (or a week if was really big). .Keep to the proper bet sizing based on the risk of the match no matter what. You are not in a race to win it back, just take it easy.
Do not blindly follow betting site odds and think that they are correct to the true odds. If a betting site has ‘Team A’ as a heavy favorite, it does not always mean that it’s an easy win for ‘Team A’.
SK beat Na’Vi… Na’Vi beat E-Frag. That means SK can beat E-Frag now, right? No.
There are many factors which contribute to the team winning a match, these factors such as player performance, map selection, strategy and tactics which may not apply to other teams.