Posted 20th March 2018 By: Kyle-Tipify Staff
Esports News – In succeeding days, European and North American Dota 2 teams, OG and compLexity Gaming, had changed their rosters in a big way. As compLexity dropped the face of their franchise, Kyle Freedman, and OG released midlaner, Roman Fomino, what will happen to these Dota 2 teams?
Ever since compLexity Gaming opened their doors to the competitive Dota 2 scene, Kyle had been a part of the organization since August 2014. coL recruited Kyle, who then played under the name “swindlemelonzz” in the game Heroes of the Newerth with stayGreen. Freedman became a success in competitive HoN after winning 5 LAN majors in his career. With this, compLexity Gaming built their Dota 2 team around him even if he had never played a single DotA game in his life. But Kyle became a leader in the team where he even sacrificed not only his time but also his money for the organization’s sake. Apparently, when the organization failed to generate enough sponsorship funds for the team and almost dropping the team altogether, Freedman decided to forego to receive his salary in order to keep the team alive.
Additionally, Kyle was dropped by the team due to personality conflicts with the team and the organization’s management. compLexity Gaming failed to make significant success in Dota 2, except made The International once but has not won a LAN event yet.
After a post on their official Facebook page, OG decided to change their roster midway into the Pro Circuit season. But after a rough start entering the year where they won the MDL Macau last December, the rest of the LANs they joined showed mediocre results. They did place top four in Captains Draft 4.0 and The Summit 8, but finished at the eighth place at ESL One Katowice and were eliminated in the group stage of the PGL Bucharest Major. With this, the organization released Resolut1on who was with the team for six months.
Although this huge roster change impacts OG significantly. The EU team, to continue their hopes to compete at The International 8, must have to qualify through the European regional qualifier of the Major. The risk is that the open qualifiers are only a best-of-one match, that eking out a win in the regionals, might not be as secure as they think.
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When you first start out you’ll be tempted to try to bet as frequently as possible, don’t. Wait for matches with good odds where you or the predictors know the teams. Never force yourself to bet, bet on matches that you are confident in. You may go days or weeks without placing a bet, you’re not in a rush, wait for bets you are comfortable and confident in and profit should follow.
If there’s any uncertainty, don’t place a bet. Save your skins for another day. There will be plenty of other matches that you can bet on.
Betting is always risky, that’s unavoidable. But staying inside a ‘safe zone’ will help cover you off from some really silly bets. When starting out with a low inventory, large bets placed on matches with 80%+ odds aren’t going to return much in general (on lounge, even less due to the inconsistent returns) but you’re still risking a large amount of your inventory for very little.
Equally, odds below 30% sound very, very attractive with huge returns possible. But if you don’t know the teams or all the details, it’s very possible the team doesn’t stand any chance. If you think there might be a chance, reduce the size of the stake or consider an ICB.
Always bet with a percentage of your inventory. Think, what happens if you lose an ‘All in’ bet, do you stop betting for the rest of your life, or just get your wallet out and go again? You may think there’s no risk, however there is always risk. If you’re placing a high bet, stick to an absolute maximum of 20% of your betting inventory.
Always leave enough to bet another day.
If you’re feeling angry or frustrated, your judgement get’s very cloudy. You’ll make a stupid bet and lose. If you just lost a big bet or are on a losing streak, instead of trying to force a bet, you should take a step back, calm down and just take a break, come back refreshed with a fresh mindset.
Betting blind is a purely relying on luck, if the underdog odds are 30%, that definitely doesn’t mean the team has a 30% chance of winning. It just means 30% of the betting community chose that team. A late roster change could mean there’s zero chance for the team to win. Check in with our predictions to help give you some more background on the game.
Use the lounge odds tracker to predict the final odds as the start of the match get’s closer. If the odds are increasing/decreasing for the team you intend to bet on the return may not outweigh the risk anymore. A huge significant switch of odds at the last moment may mean that something shady is going on, mostly in very low tier games, or a sudden announcement, E.g standin may have occurred.
Bookies will put up their odds based on their own expectations, as the bets start coming in they'll tweak the odds to ensure it's still profitable for them. That early stage is key to getting an edge on the bookies.
As soon as you feel like you have to bet again to recoup loses, you’ll feel compelled to make bigger bets with bigger risks. This often starts an endless cycle driving your losses further and further. Instead, after a big loss, take a day off from betting (or a week if was really big). .Keep to the proper bet sizing based on the risk of the match no matter what. You are not in a race to win it back, just take it easy.
Do not blindly follow betting site odds and think that they are correct to the true odds. If a betting site has ‘Team A’ as a heavy favorite, it does not always mean that it’s an easy win for ‘Team A’.
SK beat Na’Vi… Na’Vi beat E-Frag. That means SK can beat E-Frag now, right? No.
There are many factors which contribute to the team winning a match, these factors such as player performance, map selection, strategy and tactics which may not apply to other teams.