Posted 1st October 2018 By: Derpina
Esports News – Mousesports and Team Liquid headed to the grand finals of the ESL One New York yesterday, ending the month of September with cheers and excitement from CSGO fans around the world. But only one champion lifted the trophy at Barclays Center today, and the glory goes to Mousesports. With that said, let’s have a recap of what happened through the eyes of the winning team’s rifler, Miikka “suNny” Kemppi.
From day one of the tournament, Mousesports have struggled to defeat all teams in the line-up prior to the grand finals. They were the underdog, and they had to face a lot of chalks along the way. But as one can see in the grand finals, the team has evolved. Here’s Sunny’s personal account regarding the team’s progression throughout the tournament: “After the Major we were really depressed and we talked about how to get things rolling again, but the key part I think was the comeback against fnatic during the first match because that was a confidence boost for everyone. It was never technical stuff with us, it was all individual mistakes because of some pressures, it felt like many people on the team had to prove themselves. For example, the rumors about oskar getting benched, or everyone talking about whether Snax can return to his form or not, so we all had a lot of pressure on our shoulders and that was the reason we were so bad at the Major.”
Mousesports faced Liquid many times before, but the grand finals in New York gave Liquid the home field advantage—not to mention the fact that Liquid previously swept the group stages in one-sided victories. Despite the odds against them, Mousesports claimed the title of champions in a five-map series. It’s definitely a comeback. To elaborate, Sunny said: “About the comeback, this happened with the old squad as well, but the thing is that when we’re with our back against the wall, then we give everything. It sounds weird to say because you have to give everything every round of a LAN tournament… Let me give an example, imagine I’ve gone through lower 5000 times in CSGO, but when you have your back against the wall, you remember all of the ways you’ve died going from lower to short and mid, so you’re really focused and telling every detail to your teammates. That level of focus is very hard to reach if you’re not playing with really high adrenaline. So yeah, I would say that our comeback against fnatic was the reason we started to believe that we can do it, and the last two maps of the finals were like that, everyone was communicating really well.”
Martin ‘STYKO’ Styk had been part of Mousesports since August 2017 when he left HellRaisers. Janusz ‘Snax’ Pogorzelski, on the other hand, had been with Virtus.Pro since 2014. This roster change brought a huge impact to Mousesports’ future performances as they now have a line-up consists of Tomáš “oskar” Šťastný, Chris “chrisJ” de Jong, Robin “ropz” Kool, Snax, and Sunny. According to Sunny, bringing this list to the grand finals improved the communication of the team: “The biggest issue when Snax came in was communication, it wasn’t that it was his fault. For example, there were a lot of situations when STYKO was on the team in which he would speak for other players. Like, if I’d push up mid and couldn’t talk he was communicating and managing the players letting them know what’s going to happen next. That changed when Snax joined, he communicates fine for himself, and he understands us, but removing Martin showed that our communication was flawed and that he was a big part of why we were successful.”
As the grand champion of ESL One New York, Mousesports is going to Kiev straightaway. When asked about the goals and insights of the team, Sunny answered: “When we did the player change we thought we’d play ESL One Cologne, which would be the warm-up tournament, and that we’d then be instantly back to our level. We set too high goals for ourselves, and we set some new ones after Stockholm, which is building a great team for next year. I’d say that all of the tournaments this year are going to be more like practice. Obviously, we still want to win the trophies, but the goal is to get in tip-top shape and have a great map pool before the first tournament of next year.”
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When you first start out you’ll be tempted to try to bet as frequently as possible, don’t. Wait for matches with good odds where you or the predictors know the teams. Never force yourself to bet, bet on matches that you are confident in. You may go days or weeks without placing a bet, you’re not in a rush, wait for bets you are comfortable and confident in and profit should follow.
If there’s any uncertainty, don’t place a bet. Save your skins for another day. There will be plenty of other matches that you can bet on.
Betting is always risky, that’s unavoidable. But staying inside a ‘safe zone’ will help cover you off from some really silly bets. When starting out with a low inventory, large bets placed on matches with 80%+ odds aren’t going to return much in general (on lounge, even less due to the inconsistent returns) but you’re still risking a large amount of your inventory for very little.
Equally, odds below 30% sound very, very attractive with huge returns possible. But if you don’t know the teams or all the details, it’s very possible the team doesn’t stand any chance. If you think there might be a chance, reduce the size of the stake or consider an ICB.
Always bet with a percentage of your inventory. Think, what happens if you lose an ‘All in’ bet, do you stop betting for the rest of your life, or just get your wallet out and go again? You may think there’s no risk, however there is always risk. If you’re placing a high bet, stick to an absolute maximum of 20% of your betting inventory.
Always leave enough to bet another day.
If you’re feeling angry or frustrated, your judgement get’s very cloudy. You’ll make a stupid bet and lose. If you just lost a big bet or are on a losing streak, instead of trying to force a bet, you should take a step back, calm down and just take a break, come back refreshed with a fresh mindset.
Betting blind is a purely relying on luck, if the underdog odds are 30%, that definitely doesn’t mean the team has a 30% chance of winning. It just means 30% of the betting community chose that team. A late roster change could mean there’s zero chance for the team to win. Check in with our predictions to help give you some more background on the game.
Use the lounge odds tracker to predict the final odds as the start of the match get’s closer. If the odds are increasing/decreasing for the team you intend to bet on the return may not outweigh the risk anymore. A huge significant switch of odds at the last moment may mean that something shady is going on, mostly in very low tier games, or a sudden announcement, E.g standin may have occurred.
Bookies will put up their odds based on their own expectations, as the bets start coming in they'll tweak the odds to ensure it's still profitable for them. That early stage is key to getting an edge on the bookies.
As soon as you feel like you have to bet again to recoup loses, you’ll feel compelled to make bigger bets with bigger risks. This often starts an endless cycle driving your losses further and further. Instead, after a big loss, take a day off from betting (or a week if was really big). .Keep to the proper bet sizing based on the risk of the match no matter what. You are not in a race to win it back, just take it easy.
Do not blindly follow betting site odds and think that they are correct to the true odds. If a betting site has ‘Team A’ as a heavy favorite, it does not always mean that it’s an easy win for ‘Team A’.
SK beat Na’Vi… Na’Vi beat E-Frag. That means SK can beat E-Frag now, right? No.
There are many factors which contribute to the team winning a match, these factors such as player performance, map selection, strategy and tactics which may not apply to other teams.