Stats for the Astralis and Fnatic as they've appeared on Tipify
A list of recent matches this team has played, green indicates a win and red a loss. Blue is a draw/cancelled
The outcome of this matchup will purely depend on the map, even if we knew the map it would be very hard to call as both teams are decent right now and had ton of shaky matches lately, Astralis may have looked better, but in reality both teams are equally good right now and Astralis is always the team to get upset, usually in the semis but lately they’ve been losing in the earlier stages as well.
So, with Astralis’ double 14-16 against Virtus.pro and that “throw” against SK Gaming, I can’t really trust them here, not like it’s any easier to trust fnatic who also got wrecked by Virtus.pro and actually lost a map against Astralis two weeks ago, but seriously, olofmeister and dennis are miles ahead of Astralis’ players and they can single handedly carry the entire team to the finals, on top of that I feel like fnatic’s map pool is better as they worked on maps like dust2 and mirage lately, so this will be an underdog bet for me, I’m not confident at all here but it’s pretty much 50/50 and the odds are decent.
My odds for this match: Astralis 50:50 Fnatic
Largely will depend on the map what happens here. The good thing is, the obvious ‘bad map’ for both, is Cobble, which we will for sure not see today. I can see it being Mirage perhaps, or a D2, two good maps for both sides. Then it will depend on whether or not twist shows up. In the game they got rekt on, he was really quiet, and in the game they raped OpTic in, he was on fire. He must be one of the best Ivy players in the world, he really knows how to dominate this position, and on CT having a good Ivy player can be the difference between the T side going A or B, with the B one a lot easier to retake. Overall a really hard to call game, but with astralis looking poor their first game for 20 rounds, then choking and messing up in their second, I will go with fnatic here.
My odds for this match: Astralis 55:45 Fnatic
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