Stats for the Astralis and Luminosity as they've appeared on Tipify
A list of recent matches this team has played, green indicates a win and red a loss. Blue is a draw/cancelled
Match starts really soon so lets keep this quick and brief. Astralis are falling below 30% here which I think is ridiculous. Granted Astralis did bad vs OG and online have been quite up and down to say the least, however they can definitely upset here. LG won the first half vs G2 11:4 on Train, only to lose the map 16:12 which I do not understand, however it is what it is. This time around it is a BO3 so eliminates some of the randomness of the BO1’s which I like, and of course you would favor LG here a bit. LG are the best team in the world at the moment, for me at least and while Astralis definitely makes the top 5, it’s crazy how people struggle to see them beating LG, just shows how god damn overpowered LG is at times. I do think that this should be a close game, if the Astralis guys step up they can definitely take it. Overall, 60-40 in favor of LG here.
3% LG under 67%, otherwise 3% Astralis
My odds = 60-40 LG
My risk = High
My bet = 3% LG under 67%, otherwise 3% Astralis
My advice = Same as my bet
My odds for this match: Astralis 40:60 Luminosity
LG with a surprising loss against G2 in a game where their T side just didn’t seem to work. Fallen was hitting his shots, but the synergy didn’t seem to be there. Astralis were destroyed by OpTic, which was really surprising. Astralis were always a side that would dominate the groups against lesser opponents, and then struggler in the latter parts of the tournament, so seeing them drop this badly, is a worrying thing. I do think they will come back stronger here, but the tweet from Karrigan that he or they are officially in a slump, is worrying. Looking at the maps, I see Astralis removing Cobble, and LG removing Cache. Then the likely picks would be Overpass for ast, and Mirage for LG, with the 3rd map perhaps being Train. This is still two top 4 sides, and they should never have odds that far apart. If astralis are below 35%, I’d drop 2-3% on them.
My odds for this match: Astralis 35:65 Luminosity
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