Stats for the Liquid and Fnatic as they've appeared on Tipify
A list of recent matches this team has played, green indicates a win and red a loss. Blue is a draw/cancelled
I would never expect Liquid to make it that far and I would also never expect 60-40 odds between these two teams, especially with how fnatic played so far, they beat Gamers2, FaZe and Gambit and these matches looked easy, they also dropped a map against FaZe 14-16 on dust2 but that was the first match and fnatic played great all following matches, Liquid on the other hand managed to beat ENVYUS, Virtus.pro, mousesports and Na’Vi, they also looked great and I’m extremely surprise with their performance so far, however this time they are up against the second best if not THE best team in the world, additionally fnatic always go far on big events and rarely get upset by weaker teams in the later stages, so I expect them to win here.
Fnatic’s biggest strength is their insane chemistry and very wide map pool, they can beat any team on any map and sometimes they just win with their indvidual skill like they did against Gambit, flusha said he didn’t even have to call in this match, they just did their stuff and won the match very easily, I don’t think this kind of a playstyle would work against Liquid, but I still think fnatic will beat them today, but still, this match is extremely risky.
My odds for this match: Liquid 30:70 Fnatic
The map pick for fnatic is almost impossible to predict going into this. They don’t really follow the ‘rules’ with how they decide what to play. They just seem to pick whatever they feel like playing. I do see them taking Cache though. I think also they will remove Nuke, as they just have not played it at all. Liquid SHOULD remove Overpass, as they really are not good on this map, and try to avoid it at all costs. They will then most likely pick Cobble, which is a massive gamble, due to it being one of fnatics best maps. This then leaves D2, Train and Mirage. Fnatic are not the most comfortable on Mirage, so this map should be close. Train I would favour fnatic, but Liquid are also good on it, and D2, is a map that Liquid beat fnatic on before, so this map is closer to 50-50. Overall, a 65-35 game in favour of fnatic for me, and the maps will be really important.
My odds for this match: Liquid 35:65 Fnatic
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