Stats for the NiP and G2 as they've appeared on Tipify
A list of recent matches this team has played, green indicates a win and red a loss. Blue is a draw/cancelled
This match is a definition of a coin flip, the matches between these two teams are always kind of weird, in fact they played 3 matches against each other on ELEAGUE around two weeks ago, Gamers2 won the first two best of one matches pretty convincingly, however the second match went 2-0 in favor of NiP, this time it was a best of three and I guess the veto process went a bit better for NiP this time, still a weird result considering that Gamers2 beat them 16-9 on train in the first match, while NiP wrecked them 16-3 on the exact same map the day later.
So the previous encounters between these two teams were indeed very interesting, but let’s take a look at their results in general because Gamers2 clearly look better here, they are currently on a 75%~ winrate in the last 40 days, basically since the first day of ESL Pro League Finals where they made it to the grand final and almost won the entire event, all those wins were against very tough opponents so Gamers2 definitely deserve credit for that, but they also seem to struggle against weaker opponents, seems like beating fnatic, FaZe or NiP is not an issue for them, but they get wrecked by Gambit, Liquid and mousesports.
Same story with NiP who also struggle against weaker teams, recently they got wrecked by Immortals in the grand final of Dreamhack Summer, during the event they also lost against GODSENT and barely beat Epsilon, but managed to win 2-1 over Astralis, other than that NiP also barely beat OpTic in ELEAGUE and lost a lot of rounds against Selfless which is a terrible team right now. NiP are way more inconsistent than Gamers2 and their results are nowhere near as good.
So Gamers2 played extremely bad against Liquid, but they are on fire right now, they had like two or three bad matches in over a month which is still an insane record, I think they will be able to beat NiP if the veto process goes well, the odds are also very stupid here and it’s just not worth betting on the favorites here.
My odds for this match: NiP 50:50 G2
So this should be a really good game. The key thing to remember is, G2 have a really good record against NiP in recent times. Apart from at the final of the ELEAGUE group, G2 have bested them most times. G2 have these games from time to time where they just suck and this is what we saw against Liquid. They looked poor for the most part at the Cologne qualifier before stepping it up and dominating C9. They seem to be able to raise their level when they need too. NiP have been almost stumbling by recently, and basically got to a final without playing well in a single game. I don’t see them as having that explosive next gear level right now, and if they are off their game, and G2 on it, then I fancy the French sides chances. Overall, this for me is a 60-40 game as people seem to forget G2 step it up most events. I do still favour NiP, but will purely play the odds here and hope the French side can show their real level.
My odds for this match: NiP 60:40 G2
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