Stats for the Dignitas and mousesports as they've appeared on Tipify
A list of recent matches this team has played, green indicates a win and red a loss. Blue is a draw/cancelled
Hard to work out exactly whether this game is really important for either of them. So as far as I understand it, the top 2 teams get direct invites, then 3-6 get playoff spots, and the rest nothing. Mouz are currently in 5th, so secure of a playoff spot right now. All of the sides below them have played all their games, apart from Dignitas. The issue is, Dig currently have -55 RD, which is far lower than that of anyone else in the top 6. Mouz are currently on -3, so they would still need a -52 round swing in 2 matches for them to lose their spot. Dignitas best hopes are catching Envy, who are currently -19, but that is still 36 rounds they need to make up in 2 matches, against mouz and G2. Lets say they won both games 2-0, they would need to win 16-5 on every map to make up the difference, which is highly unlikely. My maths is pretty bad, but this seems correct to me and as such, the most logical decision here is to SKIP. But because mouz will feel like they want to take 1 more win to properly secure it, and Dig have a new player, I would suggest a LOW bet on mouz, but this is a risky one.
My odds for this match: Dignitas 40:60 mousesports
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