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Luminosity

CS:GO
ESL

Best Of 1
2016/04/24 02:00 UTC

Winner Luminosity
Renegades

12 Tips

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LG vs. Renegades at ESL

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Recent Match Stats

Side by Side

Stats for the Luminosity and Renegades as they've appeared on Tipify

Luminosity
Vs.
Renegades
339
Played
297
190
Wins
152
123
Losses
133
26
Other
12
60.7
Win Rate
53.3

Past Faceoffs

Versus. 5 months ago
Versus. 5 months ago

Rosters

Luminosity

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Predictions

I’m not quite sure if touching this is a good idea, Luminosity is a “lan team” and they perform way better on lan events, the online matches were not going that well for them and this is train which statistically is RNG’s best map, luckily Luminosity are also great on it and they have been getting extremely good results on train lately, while Renegades got absolutely demolished by NRG eSports (2-16).

Honestly I would go with Luminosity here, however I’m not super confident with them on train, not confident enough for a medium bet even, I’d go with a low bet on brazilians.

My odds for this match: Luminosity 70:30 Renegades

Option 1Bet Luminosity if odds 72% or less
Luminosity

Small (3%)

low risk

Really important game for RNG here that they could do with taking if they want to make it to the top 4. LG are sitting pretty at the top on 42 points, and should be pretty much safe. They could do with 1 more win, but that’s it. Renegades are currently sitting 6th, and if Liquid win both their games as they should do, the pressure will be on even more. If they were to win both these games against LG, they would move up to 3rd, which would be amazing. If they only manage to win 1, they will be in 5th, but they need to get at least one of these wins. The main issue I have is SPUNJ is only arriving in NA today, and will be back just before the match starts. I am unsure how long he has been gone, but obviously this is not the best for their preparation. The players have all put their profiles to private, which makes things even worse to see their practice amount. Overall, Train is a hard map in BO1’s, and if you lose both pistols and start T side, it is incredibly hard to win. LOW on RNG at these odds for now.

My odds for this match: Luminosity 65:35 Renegades

Option 2Bet Luminosity if odds 70% or less
Luminosity

Small (5%)

high risk


Conclusion


First map of the day between these two and we find ourselves on Train. Now obviously Train is a map that favors LG here, however Renegades are not too shabby on it either. Whenever I watch Train in recent history with Yam it always seems that that is his map, he always goes off and has these crazy performances and carries RNG to victory. Now my problem in this match starts with both teams. Firstly, LG has never done as good in NA as they have in International LAN’s, I have no idea why, however they are a lot more prone historically for a long time now, been a lot more prone in NA than in LAN’s, so they are definitely upsetable. Now with Renegades, the majority of the time they are god awful, and it is a shame since I do think that they have potential as a team to get somewhere, and they have these performances where they just go massive vs some top NA teams, however those are really hard to predict and do not happen often. Renegades have the potential and ability to upset LG here, it is just a matter of will they turn up, and I mean BO1 here, win both pistols, have Azr, Yam and Jks go off and you are in a good seat, especially since like I said LG are not as good in NA as they are in LANs. 70-30 LG


Bet


5% LG under 77%. otherwise 2% Renegades

My odds = 70-30 LG

My risk = High

My bet = 5% LG under 77%, otherwise 2% RNG

My advice = Same as my bet

My odds for this match: Luminosity 70:30 Renegades

Option 2Bet Renegades if odds 23% or less
Renegades

Small (2%)

high risk

Option 3Skip

SKIP

Don't waste money on this match.

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