Stats for the MK and Kinguin as they've appeared on Tipify
A list of recent matches this team has played, green indicates a win and red a loss. Blue is a draw/cancelled
I’m sure people who follow me already know that I’ll be going with MK here, you never bet on polish teams in those cups unless it’s AGG vs Tricked or Kinguin vs Epsilon, otherwise you bet on the opposite team which is MK in this case. Luckily there are more reasons to bet on MK, they always do well against Kinguin and dropped only a single map against them in 2016, additionally MK have been doing great in the last few weeks consistently beating teams like ENCE, AGG, Spirit and Alternate, so they are clearly in a good shape right now.
Different story with Kinguin who got wrecked by dignitas, Spirit and even lost a best of three against Rogue (ex-Unity) which is pretty embarassing, I know they didn’t practice all that much lately due to vacation and stuff, but these matches were played like three weeks ago, back when Kinguin still practiced hard for Starladder and stuff, so there’s no excuse for their shitty performance, Kinguin just played bad.
So with all those facts together I guess it’s safe to say that MK are the favorites and should have a decent advantage coming into this match, nothing too crazy though, a small bet seems reasonable.
My odds for this match: MK 62:38 Kinguin
God these are the worst matches. We have two of the top most inconsistent sides going at it here. Now, this is not the most important of tournaments for either of these teams, however it is the quarter finals and if you make the semi’s you get 2.5k, then if you make the finals you get 5k and winner gets 10k so it’s not the best, but definitely not the worst, we’ve seen these teams participate in far worse tournaments and seeing how right now MK is without an org, a sweet 10k they could definitely use. On paper this should be a very evenly contested match, however in recent times this matchup has favored MK quite a bit, no idea why that is just how the tide has turned. Both of these once again are incredibly inconsistent and tend to be really up and down. I feel like if both teams are max potential, Kinguin are the better side however not by too much and I mean if there is something that they aren’t, it’s at their max peak for sure. I just saw 3 of the MK players trash Serbia in a TWC match, so they should be going into this warmed up and ready, and I mean they all performed good too so hopefully they can keep it up. For me, I’ll favor MK here a bit, however I can’t stress enough how close I anticipate this to be and Kinguin can easily pull out a win here. I just think that MK are more prepared and need a win here more than Kinguin. 60-40 MK
3% MK under 67%, otherwise 3% kinguin
My odds = 60-40 MK
My risk = High
My bet = 3% MK under 67%, otherwise 3% kinguin
My advice = Same as my bet
My odds for this match: MK 60:40 Kinguin
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