Stats for the Splyce and Renegades as they've appeared on Tipify
This is a tricky one while on paper, for me it really shouldn’t be. I do not rate Splyce as a team, I do not think they are very good and most of the time are just a 2 man team of Davey and Arya, the rest are not very good at all and should not cause much problems for Renegades, however this is Renegades and me trying to predict Splyce….what could possibly go wrong. I hate predicting Splyce, I have the worst record with them it is not funny, so approach with caution. There is strong rumors going around that Renegades are getting dropped by the org sometime next week and or disbanding so I am not sure how confident I am in them, however all I know is that Renegades are the better team here, and if their star players turn up like we know they can, they should be winning this. Historically whenever these two have met, Renegades has crushed Splyce too so that is that, this is an important match seeing how both teams lost yesterday, and I just think Renegades should be taking it. 65-35 RNG
5% NRG under 72%, otherwise 2% Splyce
My odds = 65-35 RNG
My risk = High
My bet = 5% NRG under 72%, otherwise 2% Splyce
My advice = Same as my bet
My odds for this match: Splyce 35:65 Renegades
The few times these two sides have played, have not gone well for Splyce. I don’t know if this is just issues with how the teams play, or if they just had a bad game, but they can’t seem to play well vs Renegades. Some teams just don’t match up well to each other, and this seems to be the case here. A total of 10 rounds previously does not bode well for them today. When you take this into consideration, the 70-30 odds actually look pretty tasty for Renegades, and although I feel like Splyce are a team that will always cause people problems, I think RNG will have too much here, and SHOULD come away with the win. I really hope they stay away from Mirage, as this is a map they are not the best on, and a map Splyce has upset sides like Liquid on before, even when they had 150 ping.
My odds for this match: Splyce 30:70 Renegades
I think people heavily underestimate Splyce here, they are pretty good overall and have proven it time and time again on North American events, this is the exact same lineup that was one round away from beating Virtus.pro on a lan event, also had a close match against Optic and CLG, they are pretty good and managed to qualify for the last major, pretty sure they could do it again.
Renegades are about to disband apparently, not sure if the team will split or they just lose the org, but that’s a bad news for the players and could heavily affect their performance on this event, they already looked very bad on the first match against FlipSid3 which they lost 9-16, it was pretty obvious that FlipSid3 will win that match, but I still expected Renegades to put up a good fight at least. Splyce had a stronger opponent – HellRaisers, they also managed to win 9 rounds and it was one of HR’s best maps so props to Splyce for at least doing some damage.
Well, knowing this is a best of one and both teams are pretty mediocre I’d rather go with Splyce since the current odds are pretty stupid, I’d go with an ICB here because this match is way too risky for higher bets.
My odds for this match: Splyce 40:60 Renegades
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Recommend rules for betting:
Max: 20%, Large: 15%, Medium: 10%
Small: 5% & ICB: 1% or lower