Stats for the VP and OpTic Gaming as they've appeared on Tipify
A list of recent matches this team has played, green indicates a win and red a loss. Blue is a draw/cancelled
Virtus.pro is a team that always made it far in majors, they never went out in groups and won their first matches most of the time, however, none of the previous majors used the swiss format and Virtus.pro is the last team I would trust when this format is used, they are known for dropping maps or even losing the whole series against weaker teams, so I’m actually not really sure if they will make it to playoffs this time.
Going over the last few events of these two teams, OpTic definitely looked better, they won ELEAGUE, Northern Arena and finished second on ECS Season 2 Finals, while the poles couldn’t even make it to the finals of WESG as Kinguin eliminated them in semis, it’s worth mentioning that Virtus.pro didn’t even take a map off Kinguin and actually got stomped on mirage which is one of their best maps. The tricky part here is the fact that Virtus.pro basically never lose to North American teams and they always had a great matchup specifically against OpTic, knowing that OpTic is my pick it actually makes me a bit worried here.
In my opinion, everything will come down to the map here, it’s very likely that we’ll see either overpass, train or cobblestone, all three maps are very good for OpTic and that actually makes me a bit more confident, cache is also a possibility but I’d favor OpTic on that one as well, I think the best case scenario for Virtus.pro would be cobble and that’s still 50/50, so yea, OpTic remain as my pick and I think they should have a very small edge.
My odds for this match: VP 60:49 OpTic Gaming
Honestly maybe the hardest match of tomorrow. The problem here is that historically Virtus Pro very rarely lose to NA teams, like they might lose a map here and there but series usually not, aswell as them having never lost to OpTic before. It must be said that OpTic has improved a lot as of recent and are looking great going into the major, however, you have to agree that on paper at least, Virtus Pro should be the superior team here. The problem with VP here is that they historically do a lot better on LAN’s than online, but just recently they attended the WESG LAN and to be quite, they sucked, against weak opposition too. I’m not sure if they underestimated their opponents or just are not feeling it, however, if they bring the same level against OpTic here they are in trouble. I do think that a BO1 like this favors OpTic because it’s incredibly difficult to beat out VP in a BO3 series and OpTic has so many high impact potential players that if go off can single handily win maps, it works out nicely for them. Overall, odds here aren’t really good at all and I am just not feeling this kind of a match, I tend to avoid 50-50/55-45 matches as they for me are a bit too random. Maybe an over 23.5 works here, expect like a 16:12 either team.
Honestly I’d skip this if you want to bet do a round handicap of over 23.5 or in that area.
My odds = 55-45 VP
My risk = High
My odds for this match: VP 59:49 OpTic Gaming
Hard to call game to be honest between two of the best sides right now. OpTic towards the end of the year were on fire and will go into this game full of belief they can take it. VP are always a hard one to call. Sometimes they look on fire and other times really poor. They are famous for their play vs NA sides though, and always seem to take these games. Maps I can’t see being played are D2, Cache, Nuke, Mirage. Train is quite likely, Overpass not as much. Cobble I could see coming out as well, but I think we will most likely end up on something like Train. VP have never dropped a map to OpTic in 5 games and I think they will take this one too, although it could go either way. LOW on VP for me.
My odds for this match: VP 60:47 OpTic Gaming
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